As Sudan’s warring generals have repeatedly failed to honor multiple agreed ceasefires, experts warn of protracted fighting, despite both sides preparing to meet in Saudi Arabia for direct talks.
Army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and his rival Mohamed Hamdan Daglo, who commands the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), were once allies but have for weeks been locked in deadly fighting to secure power.
Russian mercenary group Wagner, which the US says has access to Sudan’s gold mines, “has been very instrumental” over the years for both the army and the RSF, said Krieg.
But, having grown wealthy from lucrative RSF-controlled Sudanese gold mines, Daglo has built a support network through Wagner and the UAE.
“If Wagner had to make a choice”, Krieg said, it would be Daglo, whose gold activities have been “instrumental” for the Russian mercenaries.
Wagner’s reliance on the UAE to sell its gold “to the open market”, ensuring it does not rely on Russian state funding, according to Krieg, gives Daglo “a competitive advantage”.
What is Russia’s Wagner Group of mercenaries?
It is variously described as a private military company (PMC), a network of mercenaries, or a de facto private army of Russian President Vladimir Putin. The group operates beyond the law in Russia, where private military companies are officially forbidden.
The owner of Russia’s Wagner Group military contractor threatened Friday to pull his troops out of the battle for the eastern Ukrainian city of Bakhmut next week, accusing Russia’s military command of starving his forces of ammunition.
Yevgeny Prigozhin, a wealthy entrepreneur with links to Russian President Vladimir Putin, claimed that Wagner fighters had planned to capture Bakhmut by May 9, Russia’s Victory Day holiday celebrating the defeat of Nazi Germany. But they were undersupplied and suffering heavy losses, he said, and would hand over operations to the regular army May 10.
It is not the first time Prigozhin has raged about ammunition shortages and blamed Russia’s military, with which he has long been in conflict. Known for bluster, he has previously made unverifiable claims and threats he hasn’t carried out.