Sonko, Kidero now tied. Passaris, Sakaja leading- Poll

News & Politics
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*Sonko closes gap on final stretch. Now Kidero dismisses poll. Reminder - Sonko accepted poll that showed him behind 2 weeks ago.

Sonko- 45% Kidero-45% PK-3.3% Miguna-2%

Passaris - 61% Shebesh-28%

Sakaja - 50% Sifuna - 28%

In Nairobi
Raila-56%
Uhuru-40%
2 million Registered voters
Projection- ODM will win 7 out of 17 MP seats in city.

Conducted July 15-22.

Source Infotrack

http://nairobinews.nation.co.ke/news/raila-nairobi-sonko-kidero/

http://www.nation.co.ke/news/politics/Kidero-Sonko-poll-nairobi-governor/1064-4036758-9s2yur/index.html

Nairobi Governor Evans Kidero is neck and neck with his main challenger Senator Mike Mbuvi Sonko in the gubernatorial race with just 10 days to the General Election.

The polls tied the two candidates with 45 percentage points while other candidates, Peter Kenneth and Miguna Miguna, trail at 3.3 and 2.0, respectively.

The survey also showed that more than half of Nairobi residents would vote for Raila Odinga if elections were conducted today, according to a new poll released yesterday by Infotrak.

The survey conducted across 85 wards of Nairobi County showed that Mr Odinga, the Nasa presidential candidate, would beat his Jubilee Party counterpart, President Uhuru Kenyatta, in the city with a margin of 12 percentage points.

The poll placed Mr Odinga in the first place with 56 percentage points of the over 2 million votes in the capital, while President Kenyatta came second with 40.

Governor Kidero has, however, dismissed the opinion poll, saying it does not capture the real political picture in Nairobi. He said he has covered much ground during his campaigns and feels the poll does not reflect what is on the ground.

He argued that Nasa controls more than 55 per cent of the over two million registered voters in the capital and this simple statistic gives him a major head start in the race.

In the senatorial race, Jubilee Party candidate Johnson Sakaja is leading with 50 percentage points, 22 more than of his opponent Edwin Sifuna of ODM who is trailing at 28.

The polls also placed ODM Women Representative candidate Esther Passaris on the lead with 61 percentage points against Jubilee Party’s Rachel Shebesh who came a distant second with 28.

2

Sifuna can’t ganner 28% only hata kama kasaja might win

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How is that that ODM gets only 7 out of 17 seats yet wins by 56%?:rolleyes::rolleyes:
Kweli hao “pole stars” :D:D are mathematically challenged :D:D

4

They project Jubilee to win 5. There are 5 that are toss up.

5

Kuna independents wengi and other parties’ candidates kwa race. They can’t be ignored.

6

Have you put into consideration for ODM supporters huddled in fewer constituencies.

7

That is the current situation. Jubilee has majority mca’s

8

Both IPSOS and Infotrack polls show him distantly behind.Maybe he is not as popular as you think.

9

IEBC wamtangaze Sonko mshindi… Nairobi ianze ku-function mapema.

10

Kidero let down so many people across the divide. He thinks people will vote the same way they did overwhelmingly for him in 2013…

11

Cooked polls by Angela Ombitho, they are meant for election observers and others watching so that when ODM disputes the results, they can cite opinion polls as showing them being ahead.

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Opinion polls are not admissible in court. They are after all opinions not facts. Only courts can resolve disputes. And the poll results by Infotrack have been corroborated with results from IPSOS polls. Ama ni aje?

13

I clearly wrote Ombitho, don’t think I don’t know the difference between A and O.
And I never said the evidence is to be tabled before court, it’s for the purposes of staking a claim on mkate nusu.

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You can only stake a claim on Mkate Nusu if the results of the election change overnight on the day of announcement of that result. Do you see any possibility of that happening? Remember, results will be announced at constituency level.

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Kidero may also win if some of Jubilee voters give PK their vote. Right now PK has undercut Sonko by 3.3%. Sonko would be clearly ahead if PK was not in the race.

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Ombitho would still have cooked it accordingly.

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By the way 2 weeks ago, 2 points down, Sonko accepted publicly the poll results and changed his strategy putting more foot traffic in Kidero Zones in the city. If Sonko can accept the polls, why can’t you?

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How to interpret an infotrack poll: subtract 10% from NASA and add it to jubilee

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Funny people discussing a pollster who has a stake in one of the contestants and has never bothered to hide it.

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What is strange is in 2013, that same pollster predicted one candidate to loose - and he lost. When most people were expecting the other candidates’ appointments with higher Courts had done him in.