Prematch Analysis Of Russia Ukraine War

In the international markets, investors are eyeing safe havens as global stocks tumbled and oil prices surged due to the Ukraine issue.

Senior Asia economist at UBP Carlos Casanova believes that “we are much closer to military intervention, which of course is going to drive a lot of the risk off sentiment in the markets.”

He further added that the short-term volatility in the global markets has been caused both by the geopolitical factors and the US Federal Reserve was ‘relentless.’ He also said that the consequences of this will be – higher oil prices, equity sell off and investors flocking to safe-haven assets like Japanese Yen.

A recent note by Goldman Sachs states that there is a scope for risk premia to rise further across all sectors in case a war breaks out between Russia and Ukraine. It further said that their forecasts on how much the global markets will fall on the basis of how much the rouble depreciates.

“On that basis, the rouble is still more than 10 per cent away from its maximum underevaluation level of the past two decades,” analysts Dominic Wilson, Ian Tomb and Kamakshya Trivedi said in a note.

The Kremlin admitted that a dramatic Security Council meeting on Ukraine was recorded in advance after people realized a minister’s watch showed the wrong time. :D:D:D

Amid rising tensions with Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin convened an unscheduled meeting with his country’s top security officials at the Grand Kremlin Palace in Moscow on Monday.

Russian Minister of Defence Sergey Shoygu speaks during a Security Council meeting in Moscow, Russia,
on February 21, 2022.Russian Government Media

The meeting was broadcast at 5:00 p.m. Moscow time, but a watch on the wrist of Russian Minister of Defence Sergey Shoygu — who spoke 47 minutes into the meeting — showed it was 12:47 p.m. instead, prompting speculation about whether the meeting was live or recorded in advance.
Although the meeting was announced unexpectedly, the Kremlin never specified whether it was live or not.
Kremlin Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov confirmed Tuesday the meeting was recorded in advance and that “certain nuances were not broadcast,” according to the state-run RIA news agency.
He insisted that pre-recording meetings was not unusual.
Hours after the meeting, Putin delivered a speech in which he announced Russia would recognize two separatist regions — the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) and the Luhansk People’s Republic (LPR) — as independent states.

Late on Monday, Russia ordered troops into those regions, claiming it did so for “peacekeeping” reasons.

The move drew swift condemnation from the West, the White House announced sanctions on the regions shortly after, and the UK confirmed that it will launch a “first barrage” of sanctions against Russia Tuesday. [B][I]Germany also said it would scrap plans for the Nord Stream II gas pipeline.[/I][/B]

Will there be more cyberattacks in Ukraine?

Ukraine authorities have said that they have seen online warnings about hackers preparing to launch major cyberattacks on government agencies, banks and the defence sector. Ukrainian government-run cybersecurity agency CERT-UA said that it has found warnings about potential cyberattacks on a hacking forum.

One message had “referred to the lease of servers to prepare new attacks on the websites of the public sector, the banking sector and the defence sector.” These apprehensions are not unfounded as Russia was likely behind an attack that impacted the defence ministry portal and disrupted banking and terminal services at large state-owned lenders.

Will oil prices be increased and for how long can this rise in oil prices be sustained?

According to Moody’s, an escalation in tensions along the Russia-Ukraine border is likely to boost oil prices even higher than what they already are. The research firm also believes that this rise in oil prices cannot be sustained over a long period of time “because of economies’ limited ability to absorb higher oil costs and continue growing.”

The research firm explains that continuously high oil prices can impact economic growth and fasten the substitution to alternative sources of energy, prompting oil prices to fall back to the reinvestment range eventually. It further states, “Geopolitical developments that aggravate supply uncertainty boost oil prices. At around $90/bbl, the oil price already reflects lingering uncertainty about the outcome of US-Iran negotiations, rising risks in the Middle East and tensions on the Ukraine-Russia border.”

(With agency inputs)

Read the original article on Business Insider

Obviously russia thought this thru. They wrre sanctioned to the bottom of hell after crimea but nothing changed.

Putin amesema ana double gas price. We will make EU pay through the nose. Infact watalipa in gold we dont take fiat papers anymore.

Warsaw pact and Minsk agreement MUST be respected by NATO,the pact isn’t a menu where NATO can choose what to honor and what to disregard ,umeskia @Abba and company

1 Like

Russia launched a wide-ranging attack on Ukraine on Thursday, hitting cities and bases with airstrikes or shelling, as civilians piled into trains and cars to flee. Ukraine’s government said Russian tanks and troops rolled across the border in a “full-scale war” that could rewrite the geopolitical order and whose fallout already reverberated around the world.


In unleashing Moscow’s most aggressive action since the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in 1979, President Vladimir Putin deflected global condemnation and cascading new sanctions — and chillingly referred to his country’s nuclear arsenal. He threatened any foreign country attempting to interfere with “consequences you have never seen.”
Ukraine’s president said Russian forces were trying to seize the Chernobyl nuclear plant, site of the world’s worst nuclear disaster, and Ukrainian forces were battling other troops just miles from Kyiv for control of a strategic airport. Large explosions were heard in the capital there and in other cities, and people massed in train stations and took to roads, as the government said the former Soviet republic was seeing a long-anticipated invasion from the east, north and south.
The chief of the NATO alliance said the “brutal act of war” shattered peace in Europe, joining a chorus of world leaders who decried the attack, which could cause massive casualties, topple Ukraine’s democratically elected government and upend the post-Cold War security order. The conflict was already shaking global financial markets: Stocks plunged and oil prices soared amid concerns that heating bills and food prices would skyrocket.

[SIZE=7]I’m a former Moscow correspondent. Don’t let Vladimir Putin fool you: Russia’s war in Ukraine is only about one thing.[/SIZE]
Lukas I. Alpert - Yesterday 6:19 PM

To understand the Kremlin’s motivations in regard to its smaller, and relatively impoverished, neighbor, the key fact to know is that Russia supplies 40% of Europe’s heating-fuel supplies — namely, natural gas.

[SIZE=6]Any crimp on Russia’s ability to access the European market is a threat to its economic security.[/SIZE]
To get it there, Russia relies mostly on two aging pipeline networks, one of which runs through Belarus and the other through Ukraine. For this, Russia pays Ukraine around $2 billion a year in transit fees.

Russia is a petrostate and relies on oil and natural gas sales for about 60% of its export revenue and 40% of its total budget expenditures.

Any crimp on Russia’s ability to access the European market is a threat to its economic security.

In the Kremlin’s view, a switch of allegiance by Kiev, or Kyiv by Ukrainian preference, to the West — be it an economic association agreement with the European Union like Ukraine was on the verge of signing in 2014, or even the hint of joining NATO — is close to an act of war.

In my three years covering Russia, I watched as the country slowly withdrew into itself after Putin returned to office for what was then his third term as president.

Gone were prior efforts to intertwine Russia’s economy and the global system and encourage foreign investment. As towering skyscrapers rose in Moscow atop a pile of oil cash, Putin’s government became more backward-looking and more isolated.

In Ukraine, meanwhile, many were growing increasingly ill at ease with the impoverished state of their country and highly corrupt political system as it languished, locked in a kind of Soviet-era limbo under Russian domination.
As Ukrainians looked to rising living standards in places like Poland and Latvia that had joined NATO and the European Union, many wondered why they couldn’t have the same for themselves.

This is where Putin’s nationalistic impulses kick in. He views the fall of the Soviet Union as the “greatest geopolitical tragedy” of the past century and the rush of former Eastern bloc countries into the embrace of the European Union, and even NATO, as a great humiliation.
He has drawn a line in the sand with countries that border Russia, invading Georgia in 2008 when it hinted at joining NATO, and moving to destabilize Ukraine when it moved to establish closer economic ties with Europe.
Domestically, Putin has sold the incursions into Ukraine on purely nationalistic grounds — even going so far this weekend as to dismiss Ukraine’s history as an independent country as a falsehood.


I’m a former Moscow correspondent. Don’t let Vladimir Putin fool you: Russia’s war in Ukraine is only about one thing. (

Punguza fake news. Western propaganda misinformation at work.

Any news articles from the west should be viewed as propaganda by now…The whole world including the US will suffer…Ask yourself, between the soft gender confused lazy men in western countries and hardened Russians who will blink first?

[SIZE=7]Six Early Thoughts on Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine[/SIZE]

The United States has no mutual defense treaty with Ukraine and, thus, no legal or prudential obligation to protect it with U.S. forces.
What we do have is a stake in the peace and stability of Europe, a continent of 740 million people with whom Americans share a long-standing commitment to democracy, innumerable familial ties, and more than $1 trillion in annual commerce, upon which millions of jobs depend.
To prevent the continent from falling under the sway of a hostile hegemon — as it almost did in 1914, 1939, and during the Cold War — has been a vital U.S. interest for decades. This is the vital interest for which the United States invested in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and other institutions. And it is precisely that vital interest that unchecked Russian aggression would sooner or later undermine, with far higher and more lasting costs to Americans than any that we might sustain from the sanctions and other measures Mr. Biden is contemplating now.

No one knows how this situation will end. But a few things are already clear.


Here are a few early thoughts on the Russian invasion of Ukraine:
[li]As always, be skeptical of the information you see (and, if you’re on social media, amplify). Some will be wrong because it’s deliberate misinformation. Some will be wrong because reporting during military action is always difficult. Remember that things can be reported by legitimate news outlets and good journalists that just turn out to be wrong. (One of the ways you can identify a legitimate news outlet is that it will correct mistakes as rapidly as possible, but mistakes are still inevitable.)[/li][li]Be wary of anyone who is certain about how all of this will turn out, whether in the short run or the long run. No one knows today whether this invasion will be a great success or a total disaster for Russian President Vladimir Putin. Nor should anyone be certain about what President Joe Biden and U.S. allies could’ve done differently to achieve a different outcome. One thing this non-expert is confident about: U.S. pundits tend to massively overestimate American influence on international events.[/li][li]A bit of relevant history: Journalist James Fallows reminds us that this is hardly the first time NATO has failed to deter aggression from Moscow. Fallows cites the Soviet attacks on Hungary in 1956 and Czechoslovakia in 1968 when their puppet governments appeared unable to stop liberalization movements; he could’ve added the invasion of Afghanistan in 1979 and the suppression of Solidarity in 1981. This is clearly different since Russia is attacking a neighboring independent democracy. But, as Fallows notes, none of the U.S. presidents at the time had any intention of a direct military response, although Jimmy Carter (for example) struck back in 1979 with a boycott of the upcoming Moscow Olympics, a grain embargo, and support for a sharp increase in defense spending.[/li][li]Fallows makes the further point that “in none of those other cases, as best I know, did US have prominent apologists for USSR action, comparable to Trump / Carlson these days.” True, and worth noting. But also worth pointing out that the bulk of Republican responses have been harshly critical of Putin. The U.S. may be more united than it seems. And NATO appears to be about as solidly united as it has ever been, while a broad group of world leaders have joined in support of Ukraine and in opposition to Putin.[/li][li]One significant disadvantage for the U.S. during this crisis: a State Department that has been hollowed out for some time, especially during Donald Trump’s presidency. Biden shares some responsibility, as he has been slow to nominate ambassadors, while the Senate has been slow to confirm non-controversial nominees when Biden has acted. There’s also no nominee at the Treasury Department for undersecretary for international affairs; Biden did send the Senate a choice for deputy undersecretary/designated assistant secretary for international finance in early August, but that nominee has been waiting for a final vote since November, as has the nominee for assistant secretary for financial markets. Of course, people are designated to do those jobs in the interim, but they don’t have the clout that a Senate-confirmed presidential election would. And there’s simply nothing that can be done rapidly to make up for lost experience in the permanent civil service.[/li][li]On the plus side: It’s a nice time to have what appears to be a smoothly functioning White House, and an experienced president who by all accounts has strong relationships with U.S. allies. It doesn’t guarantee good decisions, let alone good outcomes, but it’s still a lot better than the alternative.[/li][/ul]
This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.



Putin Reportedly Selects Puppet To Lead Ukraine

[SIZE=7]Beijing may be tempted to side with Putin in the Ukraine conflict. But at what cost?[/SIZE]

While Russia and China are not formal allies, their strengthening partnership has raised concerns in Washington and other capitals about how well Western powers could combat challenges in a two-front cold war.

The Ukrainian conflict coincides with the 50th anniversary of President Nixon’s trip to China, meant to diplomatically draw the country away from the Soviet Union. Some in the U.S. have advocated similar efforts to limit Beijing’s backing of Moscow, although few see that as likely.

On the surface, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s attack may seem to hand Chinese leader Xi Jinping a golden opportunity — a chance to pursue the common goal of the two U.S. rivals to damage Washington and its alliances. But the conflict also puts Xi in an uncomfortable position that ultimately could prove consequential for his country and its relationship with the United States and American allies.

If Putin continues to use military force to re-create his dream of restoring the boundaries of the former Soviet Union, China’s dual goals of discomfiting the West and benefiting its economy may be hard to maintain.

That is particularly true if China is seen as enabling Putin’s destabilizing behavior and personal ambitions to restore Russia’s glory, something China has little self-interest in supporting.


“This is a very different world than 50 years ago,” said Bin Yu, professor of political science and director of East Asian Studies at Wittenberg University. “America was on the top, able to deal with both countries. Now America is faced with two large powers.”

Beijing has never been a supporter of economic sanctions as a means of upholding international order, let alone when imposed by individual countries. And just as it has done with North Korea, China is expected to quietly help Putin soften the blow of Western measures, whether by providing backdoor channels to facilitate Russian finance and trade, or buying more oil and gas.

Some experts argue that China’s tacit support has emboldened Putin in his latest military action. With China’s soft backing, Russia can direct its military power toward Ukraine without worrying about disputes along its China borders.

“The Chinese can provide almost everything the Russians need, and Russia in return provides China with more and more energy,” said Yu. “But the most important thing is this diplomatic support.”

The risk is that China may find itself lumped together with Russia in the eyes of West, alienating many of the nations it now relies on for trade.

“One possible outcome of the events [involving Ukraine] is a sharper division of the world into autocracies and democracies. And I think that’s a world that China does not benefit from,” said Bonnie Glaser, director of the Asia Program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States.

“China continues to have hope that it can have a somewhat normal relationship with the West,” she said. “It continues to rely on Western countries for all sorts of technology, and whether we’re talking about collaborative research or people-to-people exchanges, China does not want to have all that cut off and be seen as in the same camp as Russia.”

After Putin’s meeting with Xi during the opening ceremony of the Olympics in Beijing, Russia issued a 5,300-word joint statement seeming to declare a new unity with China. It denigrated American political activities, NATO and other Western democratic coalitions, and promised a new partnership with no “forbidden” areas of cooperation.

But there are strict limits on how far Beijing is likely to go in backing military adventuring by Russia or anyone. China’s long-professed principle of noninterference in sovereign states is the centerpiece of its foreign policy. Putin’s military aggression and recognition of separatists in Ukraine clashes with China’s messages of stability and national sovereignty as sacrosanct.

Many of the world’s largest nations were quick to condemn Russia’s attack on Ukraine. But the response from China reflected Beijing’s increasingly close ties with Moscow.

On Wednesday, hours before explosions were reported across major Ukrainian cities and airports, a spokeswoman for China’s Foreign Ministry blasted the United States as the “culprit” in the current problems over Ukraine, accusing the U.S. of “heightening tensions, creating panic and even hyping up the possibility of warfare.”

Many American analysts were puzzled by Beijing’s antagonistic statement. But it was a reminder that the Biden White House and Congress have not let up on their criticisms of China’s human rights abuses in Hong Kong and the western Chinese region of Xinjiang. Nor has the U.S. pulled back from the tariffs and other hardline policies under former President Trump.

And unlike Trump, Biden’s negotiations and strengthening of U.S. alliances, including the security pact with Australia and Great Britain, have put more pressure on Chinese leaders.


Most American analysts as well as some Chinese scholars say Beijing does not want to join with Russia in being isolated from the West. Indeed, China is in a very different situation from Russia. Unlike Russia’s much smaller and anemic economy dependent on oil and gas, China is the world’s second-largest economy. The Chinese Communist Party’s political stability and interests are tied directly to the development of its economy that is deeply intertwined with the U.S., Europe, Japan and other democracies.

“I’m pretty convinced that the Chinese are not enthusiastic about a bifurcated world order and the emergence of two blocs,” said Daniel Russel, a top Asian affairs official in the Obama administration and now a vice president at the Asia Society Policy Institute. “And if there were two blocs, I don’t think Russia would be their choice of preferred parties, certainly not on the economic side.”

China does stand to gain some concrete things from its deepened ties with Moscow, notably a stable source of energy in Russia’s vast oil and gas fields. Beijing also has purchased Russian military technology, including jet engines that China cannot produce by itself. But by and large, experts said, Putin has given up most of the technology Moscow has to offer.

Russia’s diplomatic support also could prove valuable, especially over China’s claim on Taiwan, a self-governed island that Beijing considers a part of its territory. As Xi has ratcheted up reunification rhetoric and warplane incursions over the island, some in Taiwan worry that the invasion of Ukraine foreshadows a similar show of force from China.

As for Xi’s shared interest with Putin in a weakened America and the Western-led connections, so far, Russia’s actions in Ukraine seem to have done the opposite: It’s strengthened U.S.-led alliances and deepened their resolve, instead of splintering NATO and dividing Washington and its allies. In fact, Glaser thinks that the Putin-Xi statement attacking the West may have been a wake-up call to some Europeans that have been reluctant to go along with the U.S. in pressuring China.

“The best outcome for China would have been a diplomatic solution in which NATO says there will be no more expansion, an outcome in which the United States was not closely aligned with its European partners,” said Glaser.

In confronting the West, Putin has sought to raise doubts about America’s credibility and deterrence in the eyes of the world, Russel said. “To the extent that [other] countries start to question whether the United States can or will actually protect them, the more likely they are to cave under pressure from Beijing to go along [with them]. That’s the central axis of Chinese interests.”

Solidarity with Ukraine: this evening in Tbilisi, Georgiia.

In Washington, one important question is whether the closer Moscow-Beijing ties are more than a short-term marriage of convenience. There’s a history of suspicion between the two. Also, Putin’s unpredictability and the one-sided leverage that Beijing has over Moscow will test their relationship.

Whether China is able to back Putin depends on how much the situation deteriorates. An extended conflict or war could increase economic and political pressure on China as more U.S. allies get involved. China also has economic relations with Ukraine, a trading partner and important hub for its Belt and Road Initiative.

“Now things get a lot riskier for China,” said Ja Ian Chong, associate professor of political science at the National University of Singapore. “How much would Beijing want to risk its own ties with the rest of the world?”

It’s a question that China may not yet have an answer to. Some Chinese policy experts seemed taken aback by the strikes that Russia launched on Thursday. Afterward, the Chinese Embassy in Ukraine notified local citizens to stay home and avoid glass and windows. Those driving long distances should pay attention to refueling opportunities and display a Chinese flag conspicuously on their vehicle, the embassy said.

“The Chinese didn’t think that it was going to happen, so there was an element of surprise,” said Yun Sun, director of the China Program at Washington-based think tank Stimson Center. "Then again, when this actually happened, they did not see it as a strategic loss. So far there’s no cost to China’s actions.

Lee reported from Washington. Yang reported from Taipei.

This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.

Geography 101 Crash Course for Putin:


Destabilized Ukrainian …

A woman is being hailed on social media after she confronted a heavily armed Russian soldier and offered him sunflower seeds – so that flowers would grow if he died there on Ukraine’s soil. ‘You’re occupants, you’re fascists,’ she shouts, standing about a meter from the soldier.
‘Take these seeds and put them in your pockets so at least sunflowers will grow when you all lie down here’

LONDON — France on Saturday intercepted a Russian vessel in the English Channel in line with new EU sanctions against Moscow.
The cargo ship was transporting cars and left Rouen bound for St. Petersburg. However, French sea police redirected the vessel to the port of Boulogne-sur-Mer in northern France.
It is “suspected of belonging to a Russian company that is currently on a sanctions list by the EU,” the press office of the Maritime Prefecture of the Channel confirmed to NBC News.
Reports say that the 127 meter-long vessel is called the “Baltic Leader” and the crew was cooperating with the authorities.
The Russian RIA news agency said that the Russian embassy in France had immediately contacted the French authorities for clarification.
The Maritime Prefecture of the Channel explained that “every night-sea police carry out patrols on the waters looking out for migrants crossing the Channel. They came across the Russian boat, an inspection aboard was made and the boat ordered to return to the French port.”
French customs agents are currently aboard the boat carrying out an investigation to see if it has violated the sanctions, according to NBC News.


A demonstrator against the invasion of Ukraine is led away by police in Moscow, on February 24. (Daniil Danchenko/NurPhoto/Getty Images)

A Chinese news outlet appears to have accidentally leaked its own censorship instructions in its coverage of the Russia-Ukraine crisis.

According to a now-deleted Weibo post, Horizon News, which operates under China’s state-owned outlet Beijing News, said that comments and reports deemed unfavorable to Russia or favorable to the West cannot be published.

The post appears to have made rounds on Tuesday morning. Eagle-eyed users managed to take screenshots and spread them on various online platforms before the original Weibo post was deleted.

China and Russia have no formal military alliance. However, they have strengthened their economic relations in recent years, becoming main trade partners.

In September 2021, Beijing supplied Moscow with computers, heating machinery, automobile parts, telephones and electric heaters, according to data from the Observatory of Economic Complexity (OEC). In turn, Moscow provided crude petroleum, refined petroleum, coal briquettes, sawn wood and gas turbines.

During the opening of the 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics, Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin declared that their “friendship” has “no limits” and “no ‘forbidden’ areas of cooperation,” according to Reuters. Additionally, Putin affirmed his opposition to Taiwan’s independence.

Russia, which launched its invasion of Ukraine on Thursday, is now facing an increasing amount of sanctions from multiple governments. But while most of the world has denounced Russia for its actions against Ukraine, China has yet to publicly denounce the transcontinental country.

“Simply put, China has to back Russia up with emotional and moral support while refraining from treading on the toes of the United States and European Union,” wrote Ming Jinwei, senior editor at China’s Xinhua News Agency, according to The Washington Post.

“In the future, China will also need Russia’s understanding and support when wrestling with America to solve the Taiwan issue once and for all,” he added.

  1. The Russian government doesn’t create much of an illusion of press freedom. Many of the most prominent media organizations, from television channels to the Russian news agency TASS, are owned by the federal government, and journalists critical of the political establishment face not only censorship but also a risk to their lives and livelihoods.
    That reality has become only more obvious since the Russian invasion of Ukraine. A survey of headlines in Russian news outlets this week reveals not so much what is happening inside the attacking nation, but rather what President Vladimir Putin’s government would like its citizens to believe.
    On Thursday, Roskomnadzor—the federal organization responsible for controlling and censoring the media—issued a statement informing the Russian media “they are obliged to only use information and data they have received from official Russian sources.” The statement also warned that unnamed media outlets have spread “unverified and unreliable information.”

[SIZE=7]Russia blocks Twitter as Ukraine invasion escalates[/SIZE]

Disturbing images from the invasion have circulated widely on the platform
By Russell Brandom Feb 26, 2022, 8:29am EST

As the invasion of Ukraine enters its third day, Russia has blocked access to Twitter in an apparent effort to stifle the flow of information, according to a report from the internet monitoring group NetBlocks. Beginning Saturday morning, NetBlocks saw failed or heavily throttled connections across every major Russian telecom provider, including Rostelecom, MTS, Beeline, and MegaFon. Russians are still able to access Twitter through VPN services, but direct connections are restricted.
Journalists on the ground in Russia have confirmed the block. A BBC reporter described access as “severely restricted,” saying “this message got through, but took a while.”
The motivation behind the restrictions is unclear but comes amid a broader crackdown on social media platforms in the country. Friday night, Russia announced a new block on Facebook after the platform removed the accounts of four state-run media organizations, a move the government described as a violation of “the rights and freedoms of Russian citizens.”

The Russian government also moved to “partially restrict” Facebook access in the country on Friday after Russia’s ministry of communications accused the social network of unlawful censorship.
In a statement, ministry officials said Facebook (FB) had committed human rights violations and “violated the rights and freedoms of Russian citizens” when the social network on Thursday allegedly clamped down on several Russian media outlets on its platform.
The list allegedly includes the official Facebook accounts of RIA Novosti, Zvezda TV, and, according to the statement.
In response to the allegations, Meta global affairs president Nick Clegg said on Friday that Russia had ordered the company to “stop the independent fact-checking and labelling” of the four Russian outlets.


Unsure of the future, Ukrainians Yaryna Arieva and Sviatoslav Fursin rushed their wedding and got married to the sounds of sirens blaring the Russian invasion. Straight after their wedding, they both joined the local Territorial Defense Center to help efforts to defend their country.


Former Miss Grand Ukraine, Anastasia Lenna leaves the glitz and the glam to defend her country.


[SIZE=7]Russian forces advance on Kyiv[/SIZE]
[SIZE=6]But Vladimir Putin’s war is going more slowly than he planned[/SIZE]

When Russia’s war on Ukraine began before dawn on Thursday, many expected blitzkriegs. Over 150,000 Russian soldiers were poised on Ukraine’s border; warplanes were massed in Belarus; paratroopers were at the ready. Yet in many ways, the war’s first two days have been less overwhelming.
The Russian missile strikes that opened the war were relatively light, not the relentless onslaught that many had predicted. There were reports of dud missiles, too. One was seen lodged in the pavement in Kharkiv, Ukraine’s second-largest city. Russia did not wipe out Ukraine’s air force on the ground; planes were seen aloft throughout the first day of fighting. Ukrainian soldiers made good use of their Western-supplied anti-tank weapons, taking out plenty of armored vehicles.



This is heartbreaking… God Bless you young Ukrainians and watch over you.
Great Photo of Bravery. Wish there was more that we could do. The world stands with you.
Not gonna lie. This brings tears to my eyes. These people are showing the world what bravery means.


Ukrainian military in Mariupol.
The photo, taken by photographer Dmytro Muravsky, was posted on his Facebook page by volunteer Dmytro Chichera.
“A photo that will go down in history,” he said’.



‘Need a tow back to Russia?’

This is the moment a Ukrainian driver mockingly asks invaders if they need a ‘tow back to Russia’ after spotting their tank had broken down on a road en route to Kyiv.
The clip, shared widely across social media, appears to show an encounter between a group of Ukrainians and Russians who are said to be stranded at the side of a road outside of the Ukrainian capital.
The footage begins with the driver slowing down to a stop as he approaches the Russian tank, which has ‘broken down’ on the side of the road and waiting for diesel.

Ukrainians mock Russian soldiers after tank run out of fuel en route to Kyiv

The Ukrainian motorist rolls down his window before jokingly offering to tow the troops back to Russia, prompting roars of laughter from all involved.
Hundreds of people, including Ukrainian former journalist Victor Kovalenko, took to Twitter to share a translation of the humorous exchange.
Fighting has raged on in and around major Ukrainian cities for a third consecutive day, as Kyiv’s defence ministry has so far put Russia’s losses at around 2,800 troops, 80 tanks, 516 armoured vehicles, and 10 airplanes and seven helicopters.
Intelligence experts have predicted Vladimir Putin’s £15bn-a-day war with Ukraine is no longer going to plan due to Kremlin ‘overconfidence’, poor tactical planning, and ‘shock’ at the fierce resistance put up by brave Ukrainians fighting for national survival.

The Polish national team REFUSES to play against Russia in a crucial 2022 World Cup
qualification playoff match in March in protest of Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine.

Poland, Sweden refuse to play Russia in World Cup qualification playoffs after invasion of Ukraine

[SIZE=6]Paris, France[/SIZE]

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has sparked widespread reaction in the sports world, with athletes condemning Moscow’s actions while calls increase for the country to be isolated from international competition.

AFP Sport looks at the main developments:


Manchester City’s Ukrainian midfielder Oleksandr Zinchenko (left) embraces Everton’s Ukrainian defender Vitaliy Mykolenko (R) ahead of the English Premier League football match between Everton and Manchester City at Goodison Park in Liverpool, north west England on February 26, 2022.

– Saint Petersburg stripped as hosts of UEFA’s Champions League final set for May 28. The game has been switched to the Stade de France in Paris.
– Poland and Sweden say they will not play Russia in next month’s 2022 World Cup play-offs. Polish captain Robert Lewandowski tweets: “The right decision. I cannot imagine playing a match with the Russian national team in a situation when armed aggression in Ukraine continues.”
– Ukraine team-mates Vitaliy Mykolenko of Everton and Manchester City’s Oleksandr Zinchenko embraced before their Premier League game at Goodison Park. Zinchenko was in tears as the crowd unveiled banners including one that read “We stand with Ukraine”. Manchester United and Watford players stand together with a sign saying “peace” in six languages ahead of their game at Old Trafford.
– German club Schalke 04 remove Russian gas company Gazprom from its shirts. In place of the sponsor, players carried the team name across their shirts.
– The roof of Eintracht Frankfurt’s stadium was lit in Ukraine’s national colors of blue and yellow. Electronic signs at the ground read “Stop it, Putin!”. Bayern Munich wore black armbands. The only exception was Munich captain Lewandowski, who wore a yellow and blue armband.

– Real Madrid goalkeeper Andriy Lunin was said by head coach Carlo Ancelotti to be “down in the dumps as he is anxious with his mother and friends living in Kyiv”. “My grandfather experienced World War I, my father lived through World War II, and they told me lots of stories about them,” said Ancelotti. “It (war) is a horror, full stop.”

[SIZE=6]Formula One[/SIZE]
– The Russian Grand Prix, scheduled for September 25, is canceled, a day after defending world champion Max Verstappen and four-time champion Sebastian Vettel publicly declared their opposition to driving in the race. Red Bull driver Verstappen said: “When a country is at war, it’s not right to run there.” Vettel added: “For myself, my own opinion is I should not go, I will not go. I think it’s wrong to race in the country.”
– American Formula One team Haas decided not to sport the Russian colors of its title sponsor Uralkali during the last day of pre-season testing in Barcelona on Friday. Haas, whose cars usually sport the blue, white, and red colors of the Russian flag, ran in a plain white livery.
– Haas has a Russian driver, Nikita Mazepin. Uralkali, a group specializing in potash, has the driver’s father, businessman Dmitry, as its non-executive director.

– At the Dubai ATP event, Russia’s Andrey Rublev marked his semi-final win over Hubert Hurkacz by signing the camera lens on the court with the message, “No war please”, clearly stating his feelings about his nation’s invasion of Ukraine.
– A second-tier ATP Challenger event, planned for Moscow from February 28, is scrapped.

– Ukraine player Dayana Yastremska said she and her family had spent two nights sheltering underground in Odessa. “After spending two nights in the underground parking, my parents made a decision at any cost to send me and my little sister out of Ukraine! Mom, Dad, we love you very much, take care of yourself!!! I love you my country,” the former top-25 player wrote.
– Poland’s Iga Swiatek swept aside Anett Kontaveit in the Qatar Open final and dedicated her victory to “the people who are suffering in Ukraine”. “I want to show my support to all the people who are suffering in Ukraine,” the 20-year-old former French Open champion said. “Seeing those images is really emotional for me. I wouldn’t even imagine stuff happening like that in the country next to me.”

– The International Olympic Committee, angry at the Russian invasion of Ukraine breaching the ‘Olympic Truce’, urged all international sports federations to cancel their forthcoming events in Russia.

“The IOC EB (executive board) today urges all international sports federations to relocate or cancel their sports events currently planned in Russia or Belarus,” read the IOC statement.

Ukrainian refugees walk along vehicles lining up to cross the border from Ukraine into Moldova, at Mayaky-Udobne crossing
border point near Mayaky-Udobne, Ukraine, Saturday, Feb. 26, 2022. (AP Photo/Sergei Grits) (Copiright 2022 The Associated Press.)

The U.S. and European allies have imposed multiple rounds of sanctions against Russia in response to the invasion, with the White House on Saturday announcing that the U.S. and its allies will kick certain Russian banks out of a major international banking system.

A senior Defense Department official told reporters during a briefing on Saturday that “we have indications that the Russians are increasingly frustrated by their lack of momentum over the last 24 hours, particularly in the northern parts of Ukraine.”

Despite concerns on Friday that Kyiv could fall to the Russians, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky confirmed Saturday that the capital was still in Ukrainian control.

Finish Prime Minister Sanna Marin on Thursday said that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will change the debate around NATO membership within her country. Both Finland and Sweden have also brushed off Russian threats of “military and political consequences” if they attempt to join NATO, according to The Associated Press.

NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg earlier this week said he had invited Finland and Sweden to a virtual NATO summit.

“We will have Sweden and Finland and the two EU [European Union] presidents present showing in a way the very strong unity with a demonstration of transatlantic NATO and also our close partnership with EU, Finland, and Sweden,” Stoltenberg said at the time.

Russia claims its assault on Ukraine from the north, east, and south is aimed only at military targets, but bridges, schools, and residential neighborhoods have been hit.

The international community has widely condemned Moscow for invading Ukraine, and protests against the attack have broken out around the world — including in Russia itself.

Putin hasn’t disclosed his ultimate plans, but Western officials believe he is determined to overthrow Ukraine’s government and replace it with a regime of his own, redrawing the map of Europe and reviving Moscow’s Cold War-era influence.

Putin sent troops into Ukraine after denying for weeks that he intended to do so, all the while building up a force of almost 200,000 troops along the countries’ borders. He claims the West has failed to take seriously Russia’s security concerns about NATO, the Western military alliance that Ukraine aspires to join. But he has also expressed scorn about Ukraine’s right to exist as an independent state.

The effort was already coming at great cost to Ukraine, and apparently to Russian forces as well.

The U.S. and its allies have beefed up forces on NATO’s eastern flank but so far have ruled out deploying troops to fight Russia. Instead, the U.S., the European Union, and other countries have slapped wide-ranging sanctions on Russia, freezing the assets of businesses and individuals including Putin and his foreign minister.

Dmitry Medvedev, the deputy head of Russia’s Security Council, warned that Moscow could react by opting out of the last remaining nuclear arms pact, freezing Western assets and cutting diplomatic ties.
“There is no particular need in maintaining diplomatic relations,” Medvedev said. “We may look at each other in binoculars and gunsights.”



[SIZE=7]White House and EU nations announce the expulsion of ‘selected Russian banks’ from SWIFT[/SIZE]
By Kaitlan Collins, Phil Mattingly, Kevin Liptak, and Donald Judd, CNN

Updated 7:26 PM ET, Sat February 26, 2022

The White House, along with the European Commission, France, Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom and Canada, announced Saturday evening that they would expel certain Russian banks from SWIFT, the high-security network that connects thousands of financial institutions around the world, pledging to “collectively ensure that this war is a strategic failure for (Russian President Vladimir) Putin.”
“This will ensure that these banks are disconnected from the international financial system and harm their ability to operate globally,” they wrote in a joint statement released by the White House, also pledging “restrictive measures that will prevent the Russian Central Bank from deploying its international reserves in ways that undermine the impact of our sanctions,” and restricting the sale of “golden passports” that allow Russian oligarchs to avoid the brunt of sanctions already levied.

US and European officials have also discussed targeting the Russian Central Bank with sanctions, according to two people familiar with the talks, a step without precedent for an economy of Russia’s size.
No final decisions have been made, the people said, and the structure of the sanctions under discussion remains unclear.




Mimi I started considering everything from the west about Russia by default as propaganda. Niliwatch the Moscow theater hostage crisis where 50 Chechen terrorists with suicide vests took 800 hostages, kwa western documentary narrator akasema hao ni freedom fighters defending their independence.

[SIZE=6]Ukraine says it has agreed to talks with Russia at a site on Belarus border[/SIZE]
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By Robyn Dixon and David L. Stern9:43 a.m.
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MOSCOW — Russian and Ukrainian delegations will meet on the border of Ukraine and Belarus near the Pripyat River for talks about ending Russian attacks, Ukraine’s presidential office said Sunday. The timing of the meeting was not announced.
Ukraine had earlier ruled out a meeting in Belarus because Russian forces launched attacks from there but agreed to meet “without preconditions” on the border near the Pripyat River.

Kyiv announced the agreement after phone calls Sunday between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said the talks would be held in the Gomel region of southern Belarus but did not comment on possible conditions. The location had been the sticking point on the talks, and it was not clear if this had been overcome.
Lukashenko, Putin’s closest military ally, said he guaranteed that there would be no military activity on Belarusian territory during the Ukrainian delegation’s travel and negotiations. The Kremlin said it had warned Ukraine that its military actions would continue throughout negotiations.
The two sides have been talking about the possibility of negotiations since Friday, after Zelensky said Ukraine was open to neutrality.

The Kremlin announced Sunday morning it had sent a delegation to talks with Ukraine in Gomel — until Zelensky swiftly ruled it out, saying Ukraine was willing to talk in any neutral location, naming cities such as Baku, Azerbaijan; Warsaw; Budapest; Bratislava, Slovakia; and Istanbul. Later Sunday, Israel offered to mediate, and finally Ukraine announced an agreement about the border location.
The Russian delegation will include senior officials from the presidential administration, Defense Ministry and Foreign Affairs Ministry. On Friday, the Kremlin said it was willing to talk on the condition that Ukraine “demilitarize and de-nazify,” making it clear it expected Ukraine’s capitulation.
Putin has demanded an end to Ukraine joining NATO, the removal of all its weapons and its recognition of Crimea as part of Russia.


Ukraine’s Deputy Interior Minister Evgeny Yenin says talks between Russian and Ukrainian delegations will take place Monday morning local time. President Volodymyr Zelensky’s office said Belarus President Aleksander Lukashenko called the Ukrainian President earlier Sunday.