Opinion polls have always been used to give a fair assessment of the viability of candidates in an election. When we come to the Kenyan context however, such polls are usually paid for to boost one’s image or give a false perception of popularity. He who pays the piper calls the tune they say.
Elections are never won through opinion polls. They are just tools of psychological warfare. Not necessarily against the opponents but against the masses. To create a perception with the supporters so that after the elections have been declared and you’ve won/lost, you’ll tell the masses that the opinion polls showed you will win/lose and as such you have been vindicated/rigged out.
So there’s a poll that was referred to in one of the dailies today and there’s another circulating in social media. You can draw your own conclusion as you will.
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The only poll that shows Raila winning is the one purportedly conducted by a ‘top American pollster’ and commissioned by Nasa themselves.
Surely, this ‘mood on the ground’ they keep talking about probably exists in Kisumu, Western and in their minds.
And assuming this ‘top American pollster’ actually found Raila winning (doubtful), I would be more skeptical with the results since they do not know Kenya’s voting patterns and terrain. If they applied the same research methods and analysis they do in the US, they will be disappointed.
BOTH NASA AND JUBILEE CONDUCT THEIR OWN INTERNAL POLLS WHICH ARE NOT MADE PUBLIC. JUBILEE OBSESSION WITH DEBUNKING POLLS WHICH ALL AND SUNDRY KNOW THAT ARE FAKE TELLS ALOT ABOUT THE PANIC WITHIN
From the report, you can clearly see what they are recommending NASA should do - intensify campaigns in Kisii land, Ukambani, Masai land and Western. Clearly, this Poll was commissioned by NASA.
Wewe chief dimwitted dimwit wa central, unaanza uchokozi? You are officially a dimwit just like @123tokambio who just “liked” your insult . 123tokambio is a tribal dimwitted dimwit.
I don’t do this because I hate.Anyway I like how you lay facts on different issues . I know you aren’t on trial and neither are you tribal . I was just throwing my ace on the table and you happened to be the only one who picked it amongst all the dimwitted dimwits I called tribals.