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Some are already saying after 10 years of Ruto then its Gachagua another 10 years with kipsomething. What can be done to break this setup from happening?
There are reasons this could happen
The GEMA and the Kalenjin often produce new leaders. They don’t hold on to leaders for a long time like Luos have done to Raila and Kambas to Kalonzo. Kalenjin quickly moved away from Mois while Kikuyus moved away from Kibaki Uhuru quickly to new leaders. These gives time higher chance of governing because of new fresh blood of leadership.
GEMA and Kalenjin are the 1st and 2nd largest voting blocks in Kenya respectively. Luhyas could be second but the challenge is that they never vote as a block. Thus the combination of GEMA Kalenjin is almost impossible to beat at the ballot. If these tribes exchange power then i am afraid they could rule for many years.
What could prevent this from happening however is the kind of marriage between GEMA and Kalenjin undergoing a divorce or better them deciding out of goodwill to support a person from other tribe. Without that we might just experience the Kikuyu Kalenjin domination for the near future.
Hakuna Gema ama Kalenjins. It’s individuals who rule and they do so with a cartel of colleagues from all over the country. But they want to create the impression that it’s the whole of their tribes that is in power
I don’t know about that because the ground is supreme. So every Presidential candidate has to be extremely well liked at the ground to begin with. Ruto set the bar so high and evolved political dynamics in favour to the people in the ground.
For example since Murkomen nomination to CS, their is curious case of Elgeiyo Marakwet Senate by elections. RV ground has now reached a point that it’s leadership has to go knelling and begging for votes for favour and liking from the people. Those prospective candidates are really having it rough. The locals want to be wowed to the max to chose a leader.
That’s how elections going forward in all parts of Kenya will be.