Currently, it is hard to predict who will win the August elections, with the possibility of a run-off being high. Kalonzo’s primary goal is to be in government in 2017. Election indicators such as opinion polls, voter registration records, control of government machinery etc all give Jubilee a slight advantage. Kalonzo, like other politicians, is motivated by self interest because he has financial and career goals to achieve as a politician. Therefore, he has to make an educated guess on which party will win the general elections. If he stays in NASA, the probability of attaining his goal is below 50%. Considering his sizable following, if he shifts to Jubilee, he will be guaranteed of being in government, and shield Jubilee from a possible run-off. Simply, Kalonzo is taking unnecessary risk being in NASA while he can reduce the risk to almost nil if he joins Jubilee. Technically, he is cornered. He MUST join Jubilee or take a huge risk of not being in the next government by being in NASA.
Hatumutaki,jubilee imejaa
acknowledge source first…
hata akiingia jubilee hatakuwa in government
Which source? In that case I acknowledge myself. Akiingia Jubilee atakuwa kwa gava somewhere
Kwanza leo vile nimeona Ngilu hapo kando ya chameleon. Something tells me hawa wakamba wanataka kubolt.
Most politicians cant stomach being out of government for 10 years. 5 years is long enough for someone who was accustomed to government resources. 10 years out and people will forget him in his hometown…and that is why he MUST be in government this year.
Only Raila has the mettle
Raila gets more milleage, visibility, money etc etc when in oppposition playing politricks than in government; see how he performed during the nusu mkate government
acha jokes. performed???
oh, or you mean this?
present (a form of entertainment) to an audience.
“the cast of 14 perform the play superbly”
synonyms: stage, put on, present, mount, enact, act, produce
“the play has been performed in San Francisco”
Ka-Wiper is free to join Maina Njenga in some part they could name NASA-Asili, in typical uncreative fashion. Yale matusi ametupa the past 4 year hayawezi kusamehewa.
he he heee i see you have regained your homour now mwalimu
nimekunyua chai…normally rejuvenating after a hard day…
Naona akina kaswende wamewalemea,ni mamenye mathire uturi nomagashoka
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urauga atia?
Teren teren teren…
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RWNEBP. 70+1 Jubilee win.
My opinion
But kalonzo akikuwa flag bearer naona akikafunga saa mbili asubuhi
Naona jubilee ikiisha after nomination
Naona ruto wakikosana na uhuru due to external pressure
Nasa itaisha anytime from now
Kanu tu dio chama itabaki imara
my sentiments exactly!!! There is more to come from that "kamba unity " meeting…!!!
Rem Narc— Narc-Kenya Ford
FORD-KENYA ODM na ODM-Kenya now NASA na NASA-KENYA