So, from yesterday I am watching all these analyses on the president’s speech. Professors, economists and top politicians are all giving their five cents worth, and I am just dumpstruck at how shallow they all are.
First, let’s agree. If gavament uses 50% of revenue to pay salaries, there’s no way that 30% could be lost to corruption. I don’t know where that statistic came from about 7 years ago but like the lie about Kibra having 1 million people it’s become an urban legend.
“We lose a third of our revenues to corruption”. Total BS.
The other thing that has struck me are the arguments about why the 5.9% GDP growth is not being felt at the grassroots. Niggas please.
I have said it here before and I will say it again. If your population is growing UNSUSTAINABLY, then it doesn’t mattaer whether your GDP growth rate is 20% or even 30% per year. Mtakuwa mnacreate 400,000 new jobs per year, watoto 1.5 million wanaingia workforce (remember last year Matiang’i released the results of 1 million KCPE candidates? Add the numbers of those who had dropped out, those who had never gone to school like the chokoras etc etc and you get the magnitude of the problem). Net effect of creating 400,000 new jobs and pumping out 1.5 million job-seekers is that 1.1million of them will be jobless, that’s a no-brainer surely?
Kenya can prolly become developed very fast, but until it tackles three major challenges we ain’t going anywhere any time soon - CORRUPTION, A RUNAWAY WAGE BILL AND UNSUSTAINABLE POPULATION GROWTH.
Na kwanza hiyo ya mwisho. China became a developed country after it froze its population for 30 years. South Korea, which many of the so-called professors have been quoting has the average woman getting 1.2 kids, compared to Kenya’s 4.3.
Just think this. How much would you be worth from inheritance if your own parents just had two kids - you and another - instead of the 8 of you now? Chances are that you would have attended better schools, had a better bike, dressed better, etc etc.
Somehow, all the professors and economists I listened to missed that.