This is what no one is talking about. The numbers in the strong holds of jubilee dwaf those of NASA. 25% of 24 countries and 50% + 1 will be a piece of cake for Jubilee.
evidence ni muhimu mblo otherwise tukutane kwa debe…
We want to see arithmetics with Evidence maneno matupu,
I saw this silly argument elsewhere. Amongst other flaws in logic, the most serious one is what is being referred to as “strongholds”. The definition is very subjective and so is its application. I would advise those that are trying to advance it to avoid trying to make a square peg fit into a circular hole.
The bottom line is that the best way to predict how people are going to vote in Kenya is by tribe. Unless the underlying numbers change i.e. decimation of certain tribes, the advantage CANNOT be erased. Period.
Of course as an academic exercise you can define the advantage any way you want and proffer your propositions but that is a waste of time.
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Tukutane kwa debe…
Everybody in the US predicted a clinton victory, with trump trailing strongly. very few people predicted trump’s victory, among them being Malik Obama! Trump won with a landslide! Today, everyone is predicting an uhuru victory with Raila strongly trailing behind him! Only a few brave men have predicted a Raila round one victory! Among them being Barack Muluka!