The Martha Karua Effect... Or Lack ThereOf

Whom the gods would destroy, they first make mad.

Let’s look at what is expected of the daughter of Mumbi, and what she’s achieved thus far…

No one would even remotely suggest that Karua has more sway than Uhuru in the Mountain.

Ye, with a straight face, people will argue that Karua will make the mountain embrace RAO.

If the Mountain abandoned Uhuru on account of RAO.
They can’t now embrace RAO on account of Karua.

To imagine that, as a promised DP, Martha will be able to achieve what Uhuru couldn’t as a sitting president is outlandish.

Let’s look at a few of her political achievements:

  1. She vied for Presidency, and was beaten by Abduba Dida.
  2. She vied for the Gubernatorial, and NYS Ruguru gave her a thrashing to remember.

Heneway, whom the gods would destroy…

Add on that. She bring no mps to Raila coalition. Narc Kenya won’t get any mps in the election. Even in the unlikely event Raila was to win,he will have to dump her and look for ways to cooperate with Ruto for mps sake in order to govern

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The United Democratic Alliance (UDA) National Vice Chairman Kipruto Arap Kirwa on Sunday, May 29, defected to the Azimio la Umoja One Kenya coalition party. Kirwa was unveiled by Azimio flagbearer Raila Odinga’s running mate Martha Karua. The trio addressed a public rally at the Mayuba Stadium in Sirisia, Bungoma County.

The outgoing UDA official was one of the most experienced politicians in UDA - having served as Cherang’any MP for ten years and as a Cabinet Minister for five years in President Mwai Kibaki’s first term.

https://www.kenyans.co.ke/files/styles/article_inner_mobile/public/images/media/From%20left%20Azimio%20One%20Kenya%20presidential%20flagbearer%20Raila%20Odinga%2C%20and%20Narc%20Kenya%20party%20UDA%20National%20Vice%20Chairman%20Kipruto%20Arap%20Kirwa%20(%20second%20fromleft)%20attending%20an%20Azimo%20rally%20at%20Mayuba%20Stadium%20in%20Sirisia%2C%20Bun.jpg?itok=1o1wJApQ

From left: Azimio One Kenya presidential flagbearer Raila Odinga, n Kipruto Arap Kirwa and Narc Kenya party leader Martha Karua attending a rally at Mayuba Stadium in Sirisia, Bungoma County on Sunday, May 29, 2022.

The veteran politician cited the selection of Mathira MP Rigathi Gachagua as Deputy President William Ruto’s running mate as a major factor in his exit. He added that he was demoralized after the decision but only got hope after his former compatriot, Karua, was picked to deputize Raila.

The former Agriculture minister intimated that he reached out to the Narc Kenya party leader on May 28 at night, to inform her of her decision, which he wanted to make public during Azimio’s next rally. In addition, he officially announced his resignation from UDA and declared support for Raila Odinga.
“Yesterday night I called Karua and asked her where she would be and she told me in Bungoma. I told her that I would be coming to the rally to officially join Azimio…From Today, I Kipruto Arap Kirwa have resigned as the UDA Vice-Chairman, because democracy may fail in Kenya Kwanza. The law dictated that the winner of an election must have 50 percent plus one, and I have brought my one vote to Raila Odinga,” he added.

https://www.kenyatalk.com/index.php?threads/uhuru-muigai-kenyatta-is-a-political-genius.224303/page-2#post-3733849

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UDA guys live in their own bubble where Ruto is at the center and they worship him like jesus. And of course UDA can never lose any influence anywhere ever under any and all circumstances.

Karua is a failed politician. She always joins the losing side

And this will be their first disagreement. Her power will be ceremonial at best na hiyo kiburi yake that has kept her unmarried and ‘independent’ will be unleashed. We are looking at another ruto dp scenario.

Raila has done well in the past minus the central votes. The Karua pick could re-energize his past strongholds. The anti-raila gospel in central runs deep but let’s say she moves the needle in Meru, ukambani, nep, western, sections of RV n coast. Then it anybody’s game at that point.

mkate miti.

ASSmio are beyond illusionary maths now. It’s currently Voodoo maths. Karua was a blip on Twitter for a few days only. Those can be categorised like PK supporters of 2013 that didn’t show up in the ballot.

Tonight their egos have being hurt greatly. UDA in Kirinyaga was incredibly HUGE. All that money and over use of police in the county didn’t get beyond 10% votes. Now reduced to nothing.

ChaguaRuto

Keep bleating like the paid goon that you are. Mtajua hamjui. You will have to curb that grabbing appetite because thief Ruto and thief gachagua are not going anywhere.

Ati huyu ndiye Raila anategemea amletee kura za mlima :smiley: :smiley: :smiley: :smiley:

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Aki ile aibu huyu mzee atafanyiwa hajawahi ona. Ruto is going to absolutely humiliate him. He could have retired in dignity but he will now go out in total shame

Nice read. Thought the discussion was leading somewhere. Like you were about to unleash the results of an impeccable pollstar. Only to read that Kirinyaga was ‘HuGE’. Shallow. Reminds me of Donald Trump’s “we won by a lot”. Damn underwhelming!

She was the only plausible candidate for Raila. Let’s assume he picked Kalonzo. That would be a repeat of 2014. There’s nobody else worth a pick.

I just stated facts…

Karua won’t bring back Kiuks that left Uhuru

Karua can only be expected to influence GEMA (a task she fails at miserably)… to imagine she can influence WESTERN…

Sawa 2

RAO hasn’t done well in the past bruh…

Even with te strong showing of NASA 2017, he still needed more than 30% OF kiuk VOTES to win.

He needs to replicate or best his NASA strongholds votes and get more than 30% of KIUK county votes to win…

Will Ukambani and Western and Coast have a strong showing for RAO like in 2017? If they don’t, he needs over 50% of KIUK votes to win.

Western doesn’t need influencing…wako nyuma ya baba

True… but not to the 2017 degree…