Cord starts a sustained campaign against IEBC. IEBS’s approval ratings plummet and thus they loose the legitimacy to run an election. The ‘logical direction’ to take is to create a new commission but this is where the tussle begins. The opposition deliberately creates a stalemate and they can’t agree on the formation of the new commission. It’s 2017, the political temperatures are a record high, the tribal animosity is astronomically high. Part of the population that feels maligned and that has decades of experience in ‘mass action’ do what they do best, take to the streets. The demonstrations as one would expect turn extremely violent, Gor game loses are just a rehearsal and their leader is a man built for crisis, that’s where he thrives. The other part of the population supporting the current government feels rattled and retaliatory attacks begin. A full blown crisis blows up and the human tragedy and the commercial looses are are huge. The political class starts feeling the pinch, their businesses and the businesses of their financiers are loosing money fast, after all the biggest political players are also the biggest capital owners. The two adversaries are pressured into a truce, common sense prevails and a nusu mukate government is eventually formed. The political class hug it up and make up, and the hoi polloi go back to their pathetic lives and to ponder over the lives and the economic opportunities lost.
This is almost a prophecy.
kenyans mostly hawa wa maisha ya ghetto needs to be wise
if only ujinga ungekuwa unaoshwa na maji ,ordinary Kenyans wouldn’t be taking to the streets to demonstrate juu ya politicians…problem is wengi wanaogopa maji
One day tutachapana vibaya sana. Vibaya to an extent we won’t know what hit us. Then afterwards we will never see people chest thumping over imaginary superiority or others assuming that calm = peace.
More like a pipedream.
That is past tense, a.k.a 2007 P.E.V. There is no way we could join hands to finish each other. We are too divided to even fight for a month.
It may seem like a joke but I know of a firm that withheld investment worth $1B because of current political temperature and uncertainty of coming elections. The effect of this to the locals can clearly be seen.
We need to put our acts together or else tutakua ma refugees…
Babas plan though cunningly drafted i see a rerun in 2017
You won’t join hands but there are millions of barely educated jobless disenfranchised youth with nothing to lose, all one needs to do is to tap into their frustrations. Did you in person join hands in finishing others in 2007? Let me answer for you, no. But the violence happened anyway.
My good online friend, 2007/8 happened under circumstances that we do not have now. For starters, Ruto and the Kalenjin team are not opposing the status quo thus we can eliminate violence in the rift valley. Without it, Kisiis are safe with their neighbors. Them being cordashians bordering on watermelon tendencies, will they fight Luos?
Business guys in Kisumu that hail from the mountainside could loose property and lives. This being an isolated act in Kenya’s entire map the government will act swiftly to contain the situation. Come on mate tell me how this doom’s day fight will happen.
Always remember tht 2007 the elections were just a trigger. Nothing more than that. The biggest underlying issue was past injustices, or perceived past injustices. Kaleos had no business killing kyuks, but they did it because they thought someone shortchanged them… I can’t remember anywhere else Kyks were slaughtered like chicken. Naivasha was just a retaliatory attack. So really, those ugly scenes need no coming together. And the leadership is yet to address the division. The, just like most politicians, are busy politicking as is their norm.
This time they will not even kill them. Forget violence in rift valley region. I am looking at Kisumu keenly though.
The dynamics may have changed, but that only means the violence will be on different fronts.
Hehehehehe. Have you ever lived with Kaleos? Don’t ever make a statement of certainty with them. Ni hayo tu.
Maybe so.
They aren’t the most stable but will they be trying to remove ‘their government’ from power?
Hehehehe. Okay. Time always reveals the truth.
I can foresee that too, kutakuwa na idiotic and fanatic riots in Luo Nyanza, forcible transfer of masses in RV (communities that will be against the incumbent might be victimised), escalation of pro-secessionist and religious motivated violence in the Coast region and sporadic acts of violence in Western region. Though God is in control.
We are looking at Kisumu, slums in Nairobi and some parts of coast, this will be easier to contain than the one in 2007 mostly because Nkaisseri knows it’s coming. This time round, guys doing the mobilisation will be EJK’d
if hes looking at kisumu na slums hes totally wrong, he should look at the greeks and lunjes who swore never to be caught off-guard again
…following for a neighbor.