Saidieni-Political bet

News & Politics
1

As you know I like analyzing and posting on matters of politics, so me and two of my friends did a political bet, in which in case any of us predict what will likely transpire in Jubilee party 2022, the said person will get ksh 90,000.All of us have committed ksh 30,000 to it and we are just doing it for fun. We are using this issue just to promote each other as friends and for fun.
So the predictions are like these.

  1. Uhuru will kill Jubilee party and leave Ruto without a party and hence Ruto will form his new party.
  2. Uhuru will kick Ruto out of Jubilee party and form a coalition with ODM.
  3. Ruto will take over and remain with Jubilee party and the jubilee kitaeleweka faction from Central will register a new party.
    My option for the bet is number 1. 2 and 3 are for my friends. If the situations above are not obtained it means the bet is lost and none of us will get the money.
    Who will likely win this money?
2

we are not boarding.

3

Please board.

4

For sure #1 will be the most likely outcome … ArapMachozi atabaki mataani after mzito kutupilia jubilee mbali sana. Itabidi ajenge party yake heading into the 2022 elections

5

Chama saa hii iko na akina Murathe,Tuju Kamanda na Atwoli. Hawa political brokers wanatafuta the highest bidder

6

2

7
8

Murathe, enda ulale sasa pombe sio supu

9
  1. Ruto will never be president.
  2. Uhuru and his greedy agenda with ODM will flop terribly.
10

You are 3 foolish men.Take that 90k and donate to a childrens home or pay school fees for a needy bright student or pay a hospital bill for a sick patient.Hio pesa kidogo ya tea bonus imewafanya akili ineclog na mavi

11

These guys are stupid, if they had this card they should have held it till the last minute. Giving Ruto 2 years to start a political maneuver is killing yourself in the process. What time did it take to popularise URP after Kipruto Kirwa ran away with UDM?

12

No. 4
After the death of jubilee and odm kanu fresh will be the party as people will not risk marketing a new party with less time remaining

13
  1. The world is ending, ergo none of the above.
14

Number 1 assumes Uhuru is still in Jubilee. He left the day he did the handshake. During the Kibra bi-election we all saw how he avoided McDonald Mariga and also unleashed his attack dogs Maina Kamanda and others to campaign for the ODM.
He also called Mt Kenya leaders washenzi when they went to him to ask for a major development project like other Kenyan regions most of whom did not even vote for him.
After he was sworn in the second time he dumped Jubilee.

15

Just look at the trends in the four previous elections, a new outfit always comes up a year before people vote. It won’t be different this time.