RWNBP

Latest opinion polls
Uhuru 47%
Raila 43%
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http://mobile.nation.co.ke/news/Kenya-General-Election-Ipsos-poll-/1950946-4028358-yksn0f/index.html

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Baba anachezea the same zone Kama 2013

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Ipsos Lead Researcher Tom Wolf ruled out a possibility of a run-off, saying the election will will be won in round one.

Voter turn-out, he said, will be key in determining who— between Mr Kenyatta and Mr Odinga— would carry the day.

No possibility of a runoff alright, but you conveniently forgot to mention that he specified Uhuru will win in that first round

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tukutane kwa debe.

Was a direct quote from the article. Raila needs to make one final push.

And the other side will be limited in making that final push?

Other side has exhausted their capabilities. Raila has come from 39% before the Unga crisis.

Hehe, bora usijinyonge 8/8

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Nijinyonge juu ya mwanasiasa? Zero chance?

Tom Wolf does very scientific polling. :D:D

Jakuon Tano Tena…

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So August 15th tuko uhuru park ama Kasarani

Jubilee has never believed on opinion polls. “We” didn’t believe them in 2012, 2013 and certainly not in 2017. That said you don’t need polls to know the obvious. Jubilee will win by a huge margin.

I will only take opinion polls seriously when they publish fully their data to justify their numbers. Let’s see all the questioners details. Lastly in the next Parliament the polling bill needs to be passed as law. It compel pollsters to do a scientific poll and borrows heavily on the usa. Publish your data, questioner, age groups, sex, counties etc.

Doesn’t make sense to try to regulate an opinion. Would never hold in any court of law. This is guaranteed in freedom of speech. Unless you change the constitution to take this right away. The moment any living skull opens his mouth to yap, he is voicing an opinion about something. An opinion is not an announcement of a final result.

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People talk as if NASA is intrested in opinion polls…But for general observations it seems muthamaki is losing popularity

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hehehe,choses wat his eyes wana see:D

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:D:D:D:D:D:eek::D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:eek::D:D:D:eek::smiley:

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Without a third strong candidate (read madvd in 2013) then that constituency is key. All factors held constant madvd had 600k (?) votes and UK led RAO by 800k so UK still ahead even if you hand the entire vote block to RAO

Ipsos and Infotrak usually provide very detailed data. But media only handpicks the important parts.

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