Ruto is more popular in all regions( including former opposition) except Nyanza. mostly attributed to NASA dissolution.
Ruto already has a manifesto and clear objective that strongly resonates with most Kenyans Raila is yet to declare his ambition 6months to the poll.
Cleverly Changing the narrative from tribal bargaining to economic debate has fortified Ruto’s national outlook as “mtetezi wa wanyonge”.
Baba being a “deep state” project with the way Kenyans are suffering will not help him at all.
Baba has no history in Mt Kenya. in fact it’s easier to win an ODM ticket in the rift than the mountain.
If both ruto and Raila choose Mt Kenya running mate it would even out and will not change the current status quo.
Jubilee is DEAD hence UDA is up for grabs as a national party. but if jubilee fronts a candidate it would do very little in helping Raila or hurting ruto.
Voter apathy is a myth. Kikuyus are democratic and they will still come out to vote.
“Yangu Kumi, Ruto Kumi”
[SIZE=5]10. It will be very difficult to rig ruto considering he’s also in government and in strong capacity.[/SIZE]
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However if Raila joins hands with former NASA crew Ruto will be sweating , this is the only option for Baba right now if challenging ruto is anything to be.
Raila has no idea of what he is doing. he hopes mudavadi and kalonzo are more popular than they were back in 2013 and 2017 and they will catapult him to the seat.
If he can take Gideon as a running mate he will get government support and they(konyagi) will rig him in by all means. They risk tearing the country apart, but I dont think they care except for accusations of crimes against humanity. Of course baba will immediately embark on a journey to throw out Gideon immediately he puts the bible down and as we all know he is much more capable than konyagi in that respect.
Small parties will be used,the way they have been used in western.Then this small parties get in a coalition with a party that is bigger,like again odm in western.
2)Tribalism in kenyan politics has not just evaporated since handshake happened.That means once each area or county has candidates from MCA,Women rep,MP,governor,senator to president,their will be nothing like hustler,azimio la umoja etc.It will be emotions,tribe and money.On that alone I fear UDa might end up being a small regional party.
3)A large % of hustler supporters are first time voters,followed by those who will be voting a second time,whatever their guardians,parents and employers will vouch for will sway them.
4)Dont expect a fair game,once campaigns officially start,what stops GoK from minimizing state resources under Ruto by claiming he is now a candidate like any other,as other candidates receive 5 guards,he gets 8,also,Karen residence to be closed under the guise of routine maintenance…
You don’t defeat the government no matter how correct you are,ask Miguna or Raila himself.
Farasi ni Moja = Ruto =Winner,hio ingine ni farasi ya mbao kama ya troy,hii imejaa meffi akina gathecha ,macharia,murathe na kamanda= Rao na tu Thompson gazelles= madvd, kalonzo,man giddy na aukot
You say he has a clear manifesto. Sikatai. Hamkumbuki 2017 alikuwa na manifesto pia? Hamkumbuki akibweka kwa ujasiri how they will build multiple stadia? Wapi hizo stadia saa hii.
And don’t blame the president on this.
Unless he will pull the stadia out of his ass before August next year, believe me mkimchagua in the next election he will have a new manifesto na hakuna kitu atakuwa amefanya that’s in his current manifesto.
If you won’t vote for Raila spare the country by not voting.