Kenyans tuko na shida if these two front runners are the only options we have. The other fillers are so lacklustre that i would be hard pressed to attend their rally if they came to my neighbourhood, deep in Mt Kenya forest.
Actually in Kiambu Baba has at least 30% of the voters following especially the mature crowd.Don’t underestimate Uhuru’ s influence in Kiambu’ s politics and this is bound to rise as we edge towards the general elections.
Bad news for Ruto. If he can’t replicate Uhurus numbers, he’s staring at Sugoi, because of trouble elsewhere.
Let’s look at an example. 1m voters. 95% turnout and Ruto wins 95% votes. That he gets 902,500 votes. Now if there’s 85% turnout and he gets 90% of the vote, he gets 765,000 votes. That’s a 137,500 voter difference. If you are looking at 3m voters, that’s 400k difference.
70% turnout will be kifo.
Well, how is the state just selling Raila without selling his party, ODM? Most of the popular candidates in Central are opting to run on a UDA ticket…so, how will central Kenya voters pick UDA for every other position except the presidency? How will this work out if the UDA popular picks for the other positions start to champion the “suit” voting pattern?