Fragile elections in Africa

News & Politics
1

As Uganda head to elections in a few weeks time, I am left to wonder what does the future hold for that country. If the opposition wins, will the incumbent ruler cling to power? If m7 wins, will the country plunge into chaos on the premise that the elections were ‘stolen’. Let us pray for our brothers across the lake because ours is just around the corner and we shall be tried and tested through fire and brimstone.

Here are the five classical scenarios:

  1. Incumbent loses, accepts defeat
  2. Incumbent loses, contestation, coalition
  3. Incumbent loses, contestation, standoff
  4. Incumbent wins, contestation, coalition
  5. Incumbent wins, contestation, standoff
  6. Incumbent wins, no contestation

In 2017 Kenya, I’m of the opinion that #1, #2, #3 and #4 are unlikely to happen. Which leaves us with #5 and an iffy #6. God be with us.

2

I hate elections. Too much resources and energy expended in something that brings minimal value. In Kenya, the annual GDP growth rate is always negative in election years

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CAziCJ2W4AAinog.jpg:large

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3

Elections are about the elite, mwananchi is just made to think he is exercising his ‘right’.

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