JSKS has an upper hand to win(55%+), but let’s not underrate Kuzimia candidate Babuon. He might pull a surprise, especially with Shallow State on his side. NEVER UNDERESTIMATE THE STATE!!!
UDA × Kenya Kwisha would have a super majority in the lower house. (National Assembly) so even if Babuon wins, he would have a hard time getting critical bills passed. That would be a Pyrrhic victory.
UDA × Kenya Kwisha would also have a majority in the Senate. Kuzimia are not as rejuvenated as before.
Kuzimia would win the Senate + W.Rep seat in Nairobi. Kenya Kwisha would have the governor seat. In Mombasa Kuzimia would scoop everything (Senate + Governor + W.Rep), same to Kisumu.
If elections would be FREE AND FAIR, A runoff is likely. Unfortunately Deep State haina hiyo time.