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With only five months until the November general election, several Trump advisers, campaign veterans, and prominent Republicans see the Trump campaign’s efforts to define and damage former vice president Joe Biden falling short. These Trump supporters worry the campaign’s myriad lines of attack on Biden this spring — from his age to his work with China as vice president to the Obama economic record — are failing to dent the presumptive Democratic nominee. Recent polling shows Trump trailing Biden in key swing states such as Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, with the Republican control of the Senate increasingly up for grabs due to a depressed economy and nationwide angst about the coronavirus pandemic.
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The poor results from the all-over-the-map approach are spurring consternation across the field of Republican advisers, donors and conservative groups who want the Trump campaign to dramatically ramp up its efforts to tear down and pigeonhole Biden — much the way former President Barack Obama cast Mitt Romney as a plutocrat during the 2012 campaign, a framing from which Romney was never able to escape.
“Take the gloves off and put him away,” said one Republican close to the White House. “If you have the cash advantage and you have all of June, why are you not burying him?”
Interviews with ten people from Trump world-leading outside allies and donors along with inside aides and advisers — indicated a widespread agreement of the Memorial Day weekend as a critical turning point for the campaign. Now, every state has started reopening its economy in some fashion after being shut down by Covid-19, and the advisers want the campaign to ramp up as well now that they think Trump is out of the worst of the political fallout from the pandemic. Otherwise, they fear the election will remain a simple referendum on Trump — his record over the past three and a half years, or his handling of the coronavirus pandemic — while Biden hides out in his basement, as Trump officials and advisers like to say.
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One senior administration official said Trump and his son-in-law, Jared Kushner, began to sense that his campaign lacked a strategy for ensuring his political survival in the midst of a global pandemic. Over time, the absence of experienced pollsters and veteran strategists inside the campaign grew more apparent to Kushner, who was the first to float the idea to Trump of moving Stepien higher within the campaign apparatus, the official said.
A handful of Trump veterans have defended the campaign so far by saying that launching several lines of attack on Biden during a pandemic would not have made much sense.
“The easiest thing to do is to criticize a broad and general direction, whether it be the campaign or the White House,” said Jason Miller, a senior communications adviser to the 2016 Trump campaign. “The campaign is being smart because voters are not paying attention to politics right now.”
Another Trump political adviser argued any polling that shows Trump behind in swing states or even nationally may end up being off by a few percentage points or wrong, just as polling was incorrect in the 2016 when Trump ultimately won the presidency.
Trump’s approval rating in mid-May was among the highest it’s ever been, according to Gallup polling. If the economy bounces back, Trump aides and advisers believe this will leave him in a good position to argue that he helped to resurrect it.
The Trump campaign originally intended to lean heavily on an economic message for the reelection, highlighting the low unemployment rate, booming stock market and high labor force participation. The coronavirus upended that calculus, forcing the campaign to rejigger its strategy in real time.
Calling Biden “Sleepy Joe” will not work forever, allies and Trump aides argue, especially once voters start to tune into the election more over the summer and the fall. Biden also may be tougher to define than Romney was eight years ago, because the former vice president has been on the national political stage for decades where voters already formed opinions of him.
“They have not coalesced around the best message to attack Biden, and the message that Biden is diminished doesn’t scare people enough,” said a second Republican close to the White House. “A lot of Americans just don’t want the government to screw things up.”