Busia county
turnout 88% =305,986
Raila = 288,911
Uhuru= 11,352
Bungoma
turnout 86% = 515,912
Raila = 431,096
Uhuru = 61,909
Vihiga county
Turnout = 83% =222,009
Raila = 212308
Uhuru =3,374
Kakamega County
Turnout = 84% = 627,377
Raila = 596,008
Uhuru = 18,821
Total with the new IEBC numbers western province counties
Raila = 1,671,284
Uhuru = 95,456
[ul]
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Eti nini?
2013
Meru Turnout 88% Uhuru 89.41% Raila 7.55%
Tharaka Nithi Turnout 89% Uhuru 92.38% Raila 5.12%
Embu Turnout 88% Uhuru 89% Raila 7.97%
Nyandarua Turnout 94% Uhuru 97.11% Raila 1.21%
Nyeri Turnout 93% Uhuru 96.33% Raila 1.7%
Kirinyaga Turnout 91% Uhuru 95.99% Raila 1.44%
Muranga Turnout 94% Uhuru 95.92% Raila 2.43%
Kiambu Turnout 91% Uhuru 90.21% Raila 7.89%
Laikipia Turnout 90% Uhuru 85.49% Raila 12.56%
Nakuru Turnout 89% Uhuru 80.19% Raila 17.14%
2017 (reduce turnout by 5%)
Meru Total Votes 712,378 Turnout 83% uhuru 89.41% (528,657) Raila 7.55% (44,681)
Tharaka Nithi Total Votes 216,522 Turnout 84% uhuru 92.38% (168,019) Raila 5.12% (9,312)
Embu Total Votes 315,668 Turnout 83% uhuru 89% (233,183) Raila 7.97% (20,881)
Nyandarua Total Votes 336,322 Turnout 89% uhuru 97.11% (290,676) Raila 1.21% (3,621)
To be continued, hii kazi ni kubwa I say
hiii ni rigging mape
Hapa naona uhunye akienda nyumbani mapema
Nimemaliza hesabu ya all counties. If voter turnout is exactly same as 2013 and if each candidate gets the same percentage of votes in each county, U- 8,411,461. R 8,036,033.
U needs ONLY 50,929 votes to cross the 50% mark.
If NASA were to stand a chance they will have to fire up the coast region. Turnout was dismal in 2013
Kilifi 65% kwale 72% MSA 67%
Omera, naona excel kwako ni kids play, tuwekee hako ka file hapa tucheze na other scenarios
I have hypothesized a 100% turnout in coast counties. They reduce the gap but bado wako nyuma.
and in your opinion your think those who abstained from voting were cord supportes? You’re wrong,they didn’t give a fuck
If you remeber, that morning kulikuwa na a few “MRC” attacks, a few cops and iebc officials died, that likely reduced the turnout. Turnout ya coast na western ndio zitaamua if NASA stands a chance. Then since this time hakuna a serious 3rd candidate, hii election itakuwa only one round
hey its no argument. Just a discussion and since it was a CORD stronghold, there is a chance that more of their supporters did not vote due to low turnout
I dont think the voter turnout will be the same especially at the coast. This whole Joho thing is likely to go against Uhuru at the Coast.
This whole Joho thing is likely to go against Uhuru.
nivile sikutaka kusema
From Okiya’s projections, the best Coast can do is force a run-off, even then the results may not change much
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@Okiya . Your projections are too rigid. There are factors not included.
I put a disclaimer that the projections were based on past voter turnout. Anyway, what factors haven’t I included?
If NASA can manage to flip the North Eastern counties then maybe, they can tilt the scales. The counties surprised many in 2013 since most people thought Uhuruto will only win within Central and Rift Valley.
They can also hope that with no ICC tag on the duo their bases will not be as fired up. But this is a long shot
mimi hesabu ni ngori,but in a dropout reasoning can u explain how Jap made of two tribes can compete against NASA which has the remaining tribes of kenya